PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Rebeca Grynspan 39.8%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$73.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadComments
2
7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Apr 21, 26, 6:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the next secretary general of the United Nations be bald?
Manifold MarketsWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItWhat will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiRules
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Rebeca Grynspan 33%
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
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+17 more outcomes
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- October 31+1.0pt21%
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+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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- September 30+11.0pt90%
- September 18+11.5pt87%
- September 4+14.0pt86%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+13.5pt61%
- September 30+9.5pt40%
- September 21+12.5pt34%
+6 more outcomes
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- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
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- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Polymarket prices Rebeca Grynspan at 40% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Next Secretary-General of the United Nations resolve?
- Next Secretary-General of the United Nations is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Next Secretary-General of the United Nations settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- Where else is Next Secretary-General of the United Nations listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.