PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Rafael Grossi 50%Leader of 31 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$80.2
Liquidity
$11.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 17.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Apr 21, 26, 6:21 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Rafael Grossi50%
Compare venues· Rafael Grossi
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
2.0 pts5mo
-1.0pt58.6%
19.2%
8.1%
+5 more outcomes
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$67.9K
24h Vol$516.7
KALSHIAlso available on Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Closed
-7.5pt30.9%
+0.1pt29.1%
-6.6pt21.8%
+44 more outcomes
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$79.9K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$80Jul 226d of dataJul 28
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A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
- A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution.
- Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.