Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
One-OffGeopolitics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 26, 26, 8:48 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The selection of the next UN Secretary-General will be determined through the established UN Security Council straw poll process, followed by General Assembly appointment in late 2026.
- This market resolves “Yes” if Grossi is serving as UN Secretary-General on 1 January 2027.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027. resolve?
- Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027. is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027. settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The selection of the next UN Secretary-General will be determined through the established UN Security Council straw poll process, followed by General Assembly appointment in late 2026.