PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Rafael Grossi · —
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Stored reference
Rafael Grossi 17%Leader of 14 outcomes
Rafael Grossi 17%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$124.3
Liquidity
$4.2K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$7.7K
Bid / Ask
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Rafael GrossiSpread
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Comments
6
7d Change
-6.6 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 12:39 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Rafael Grossi
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the next Secretary General of the UN after Guterres be from South America, Central America or the Carribean?
Manifold MarketsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
PolymarketWho will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
PredictItNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketWhich country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?
Manifold MarketsRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsRules
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.
- This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
- If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the next UN General secretary? · Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency] 14%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Gianni Infantino 2%
- Also available on Polymarket — Next Secretary-General of the United Nations · Lana Nusseibeh 31%
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Lana Nusseibeh 47%
