PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityRafael Grossi 30.7%-6.0ptLeader of 47 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4.9
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 3.9%
Spread
2.9 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
+0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 12:39 AMFeb 28, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
30.7%
28.1%
22.8%
10.5%
1.8%
1.8%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
2.0 pts5mo
+2.0pt58.6%
19.2%
8.1%
+5 more outcomes
49 • Low qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$67.9K
24h Vol$525
KALSHIAlso available on Polymarket
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
2.0 pts5mo
50%
-2.0pt24%
+2.0pt16%
+28 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$148.4K
24h Vol$88.4
POLYMARKETRules
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.
- This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
- If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5Jul 220d of dataJul 27
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A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.
- This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
- If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.