Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 56%+4.5ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+34.8 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 12, 24, 11:31 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurWill China have its first female General Secretary before the US has its first female President?
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Next Secretary-General of the United Nations · Lana Nusseibeh 52%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will be selected the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Gianni Infantino 2%
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? · Lana Nusseibeh 32%