Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.9%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 23, 10:24 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
António Guterres is the current General-Secretary of the United Nations (UN).
- The General-Secretary is selected for five-year terms, with the next selection to take place in 2026.
- To become General-Secretary, a candidate must be nominated by a UN member state, recommended by the UN Security Council (receiving 9 out of 15 votes and no vetoes by the permament members), and voted in by a majority in the UN General Assembly.
- Guterres was selected as General-Secretary in 2016 after six straw polls on the UN Security Council.
- Guterres was nominated again in 2021 and was the only official candidate, being recommended unanimously by the UN Security Council and acclaimed by the UN General Assembly.
- Will Guterres be selected to serve a third term as UN General-Secretary?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary? resolve?
- Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: António Guterres is the current General-Secretary of the United Nations (UN).