KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRafael Grossi 58.6%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$500
Liquidity
$35.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 7.0%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 23, 25, 2:00 PMJan 5, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés4%
Compare venues· Rafael Grossi
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
5mo
49.5%
-0.3pt23.8%
16.8%
+28 more outcomes
59 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$148.4K
24h Vol$63.5
POLYMARKETAlso available on Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Closed
-4.5pt32.7%
+0.5pt29.2%
-8.4pt19.5%
+44 more outcomes
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$79.9K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$500Jul 326d of dataJul 28
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If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.