KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRafael Grossi 58.6%-1.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$516.7
Liquidity
$35.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 7.0%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 23, 25, 2:00 PMJan 5, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés4%
Compare venues· Rafael Grossi
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
1.0 pts5mo
50%
-0.7pt24%
+1.0pt16%
+28 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$148.4K
24h Vol$80.2
POLYMARKETAlso available on Polymarket
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
0.1 ptsClosed
-5.5pt31.3%
+0.6pt28.7%
-6.4pt21.7%
+44 more outcomes
48 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$79.9K
24h Vol$4.9
POLYMARKETRules
If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$517Jul 326d of dataJul 28
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If Mia Mottley is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement alone is sufficient to resolve the market.
- If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alicia Bárcena is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mohammed is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.