Will Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 90%
No 90%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityTraders
6
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0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts whether Karina Milei will leave the office of Secretary General of the Presidency of Argentina at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Argentine government communications confirming her resignation, dismissal, or replacement, including official gazette publications or presidential announcements.
- If Karina Milei ceases to hold the office during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary absences or leaves that do not result in her formally leaving the office will not count.
- If official government information is unclear or delayed, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from multiple major, reputable Argentine or international news organizations.