Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 96.7%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 26, 26, 12:17 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
KalshiWhich Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?
Manifold MarketsNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by which date?
PolymarketRafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurWill the next Secretary-General of the United Nations be a woman?
Manifold MarketsRules
2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection - Wikipedia
- Wall Street Journal: