Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67.4%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 10, 25, 4:02 AM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, by 23:59 Nepal Time (UTC+5:45) on December 31, 2039, Nepal has officially restored a monarchy with a king or queen as head of state, evidenced by either:
- A constitutional amendment or formal proclamation published in the Nepal Gazette (Nepal Rajpatra), or
- The official text of the Constitution updated to designate a monarch as head of state (e.g., on WIPO Lex or an official government publication).
- Non‑binding proposals, party statements, protests, or unofficial “oaths” do not count.
- If sources conflict, prioritize the Nepal Gazette or an updated official constitution text.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040? resolve?
- Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2039.
- How is Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria