Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 3:11 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 67.4%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 10, 25, 4:02 AM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, by 23:59 Nepal Time (UTC+5:45) on December 31, 2039, Nepal has officially restored a monarchy with a king or queen as head of state, evidenced by either:
- A constitutional amendment or formal proclamation published in the Nepal Gazette (Nepal Rajpatra), or
- The official text of the Constitution updated to designate a monarch as head of state (e.g., on WIPO Lex or an official government publication).
- Non‑binding proposals, party statements, protests, or unofficial “oaths” do not count.
- If sources conflict, prioritize the Nepal Gazette or an updated official constitution text.
