US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?
15.5% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAugust 31 75%+7.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$150.3K
Liquidity
$179.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
2.7%
Tight spread7d Change
+15.0%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 18, 26, 1:59 AMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
August 3175%
Large trades
$1.2k54.5%POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? — YesGGWPGL18h ago
POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? — YesGGWPGL18h ago$2.0k99.9%POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? — NoFearless-Misnomeryesterday
POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? — NoFearless-Misnomeryesterday$1.2k94.0%POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? — Nozthunderfury3d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? — Nozthunderfury3d ago$1.6k94.0%POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? — Noendlesssss3d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? — Noendlesssss3d ago$2.3k97.7%POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21? — NoNeedy-Antelope5d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21? — NoNeedy-Antelope5d agoVolume trend
$150.3kJul 189d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease offensive military operations against Iran, including an announcement of a ceasefire, truce, or cessation of hostilities to which the United States is a party, even if some measures remain (for example, the naval blockade, sanctions, or a defensive military posture).
- A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran.
- A qualifying announcement need not include a commitment from Iran, provided the end or suspension of US offensive military action is communicated.
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of offensive military action against Iran.