Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 17, 2026, 7:44 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastJune 15 11.59pm ET 2.1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 38 days ago
StaleJun 2, 26, 3:51 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
June 15 11.59pm ET2%
Compare venues· December 31 11.59pm ET
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Israeli parliament dissolved by which date?
7.3%Closed
+1.2%100%
+30.0%100%
+7.3%100%
+8 more outcomes
72 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$2.5M
24h Vol$38.4K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
3.0%Closed
Resolved
Before Aug 1, 2026 (99%)
+3.0%99%
-5.0%94%
1%
+4 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$91.3K
24h Vol$1.3K
KALSHIRules
Resolves yes if the Israeli parliament is officially dissolved by the time listed.
- Resolves according to Israeli government and major media reporting,
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$5.4k99.0%POLYMARKETIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 16? — YesSarcastic-Minimalism9d ago
POLYMARKETIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 16? — YesSarcastic-Minimalism9d ago$1.1k90.0%POLYMARKETIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31? — Yespakukudolphi14d ago
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Resolves yes if the Israeli parliament is officially dissolved by the time listed.
- Resolves according to Israeli government and major media reporting,