KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore 2027 23%
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.4K
Liquidity
$154.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
22.0% / 23.0%
Spread
4.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before 202723%
Volume trend
$4.4kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.