KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 17 88%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquiditySpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 12:22 AM UTCOct 27, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Rules
If Likud has won the named outcome seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Elections Committee
- Note: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted.
- If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on.
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win??
- Kalshi prices Above 17 at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? resolve?
- Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2027.
- How is Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Likud has won the named outcome seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.