Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 1:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastMorena 88%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 18, 26, 3:39 PM UTCSep 5, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
