How many seats will Likud win in the 2026 Israel legislative elections?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionMiddle East1y
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
40 or more 89%Leader of 8 outcomes
40 or more 89%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
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24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 24, 26, 2:02 PM UTCOct 28, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
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Rules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the number of Knesset seats won by candidates affiliated with the Likud Party in the 2026 Israel legislative elections.
For purposes of this market, Likud Party affiliation shall refer to a Knesset candidate’s ballot-listed or otherwise readily identifiable party affiliation as Likud on the day of the election.
For purposes of this market, Likud Party affiliation shall refer to a Knesset candidate’s ballot-listed or otherwise readily identifiable party affiliation as Likud on the day of the election.
- Members of the Knesset who allied or in a coalition with Likud, but who are not listed on the ballot under the Likud party, are not included for purposes of resolving this market.
- A person switching parties on or after Election Day shall have no effect on resolution of the market.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
