Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
1.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Peltola 0-3% 20%+1.5ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$24.6
Liquidity
$36.7K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 6:30 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot.
- They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
