Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJackson 1+ pts 58%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+8.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 26, 1:46 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Maine Senate margin of victory in ME-2?
Manifold MarketsMaine Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMaine Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round)
PolymarketMaine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PolymarketMaine Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketDemocrats win Maine Senate, Maine Governor, Alaska Governor, Alaska Senate
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves Yes to all correct answers..Outcome verified from official election authority responsible for certifying results in .
- Maine Secretary of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Resolves same as Kalshi.
