Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Republican 0-3% 16.3%+0.5ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$92.7K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 6:20 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Maine Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMaine Senate election result? (Collins, Jackson, Bellows)
Manifold MarketsMaine Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketWill the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsMaine Senate Exact Outcome
KalshiWill Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 first round of the Maine Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.