KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic party wins 66.3%+1.0pt
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$240.7
Liquidity
$161.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
67.0% / 68.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Mar 31, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Kalshi2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
KalshiMaine Senate Election Winner
PolymarketWill Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsMaine Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketRules
If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Maine Secretary of State
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY).
- All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.
- If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- **Important information:** The underlying contract for the first component of this combination market is SENATEPARTYNOM, which resolves based on the identity of the "first person nominated" by the relevant political party.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Maine Senate Exact Outcome?
- Kalshi prices Democratic party wins at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Maine Senate Exact Outcome resolve?
- Maine Senate Exact Outcome is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Maine Senate Exact Outcome settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes.