KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityPaxton defeats Talarico 59%+1.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$165.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Mar 20, 26, 2:00 PMJan 3, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Talarico defeats Paxton41%
Volume trend
$1.3kJul 227d of dataJul 28
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If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: John Cornyn, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: GOP Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY).
- All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.
- If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: John Cornyn, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.