FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 58%
Democratic Party 58%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$43.3
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquidityTraders
17
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0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round)
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Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event concerns which political party will win the United States Senate election in the state of Maine, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This event will resolve to the market corresponding to the party of the candidate who is officially elected to the U.S. Senate seat from Maine will resolve to "Yes".
- A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on their official ballot-listed party designation.
- If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the ranked-choice vote mandated by Maine law.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the Maine's Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Maine Senate winner? (Person) · Troy Jackson 59%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Maine Senate Race · Democrat 59%
- Also available on Polymarket — Maine Senate Election Winner · Troy Jackson (D) 60%
