PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Jeremy Moss
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Jeremy Moss 100%+2.5ptLeader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+6.8 pts
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleNov 25, 25, 9:23 PMAug 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Aisha Farooqi9%
Jeremy Moss100%
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
