PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Abdul El-Sayed 76.2%+5.0ptLeader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$64.8K
Liquidity
$433.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
24.1% / 24.8%
Spread
0.7 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+4.2 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Sep 15, 25, 7:40 PMAug 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Abdul El-Sayed77%
Compare venues· Abdul El-Sayed
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall90% match · verified | High | 76% | 0pt | $273.6K | $2.2M | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | High | 77% | +1pt | $64.8K | $433.2K | 22 minutes ago | |
 Futuur100% match · auto | Low | 70% | -6pt | $0 | $904.8 | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets100% match · auto | — | 77% | +1pt | — | — | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
 PredictIt90% match · linked | — | 72% | -4pt | — | — | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets90% match · linked | — | 82% | +6pt | — | — | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets75% match · verified | — | 73% | -3pt | — | — | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner?
5d
+6.6pt76.8%
-6.6pt22.9%
0.3%
Community forecast68 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Futuur
Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary
5d
69.3%
29.7%
1%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$620.7
24h Vol$0
FUTUURAlso available on Kalshi
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
4.0 pts3mo
+5.0pt74.5%
-4.0pt25.5%
+0.1pt0%
+6 more outcomes
89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$4.3M
24h Vol$273.6K
KALSHIAlso available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate nomination?
7.0 pts9mo
+7.0pt72%
-7.0pt28%
1%
+2 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 2026 Senate election?
8d
81.5%
17.8%
0.5%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast33 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Democratic Primary in Michigan's 2026 Senate Election?
6d
73%
26.7%
0.3%
Community forecast19 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
- If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.5k76.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes5h ago
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes5h ago$2.3k77.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes11h ago
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes11h ago$2.7k75.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes15h ago
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes15h ago$2.3k75.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes16h ago
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes16h ago$1.1k75.0%KALSHIHaley Stevens — No17h ago
KALSHIHaley Stevens — No17h ago$1.1k74.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes20h ago
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes20h ago$2.1k68.8%POLYMARKETWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? — YesLeRoiSoleilyesterday
POLYMARKETWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? — YesLeRoiSoleilyesterday$1.6k64.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes2d ago
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed — Yes2d agoVolume trend
$64.8kJul 228d of dataJul 29
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
- If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.