KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Keiko Fujimori
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, 7:58 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Keiko Fujimori
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
Keiko Fujimori 94.3%+0.1ptLeader of 21 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$32.5K
Liquidity
$3.2M
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 70 days ago
StaleJan 22, 26, 10:00 PM UTCApr 12, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Roberto Sánchez0%
Keiko Fujimori100%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
94.3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the winner of the next Peruvian presidential election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a presidential election, the winner is the candidate who is officially declared elected by that authority and is subsequently sworn in, or whose inauguration date passes without a different person taking office.
- The market will resolve for that candidate even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $215.7M
- 24h Vol
- $685.7K
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.3pt1%
+7 more outcomes
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- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Peru Presidential election winner??
- Kalshi prices Keiko Fujimori at 94% as of July 3, 2026.
- When does Peru Presidential election winner? resolve?
- Peru Presidential election winner? is scheduled to resolve on April 12, 2027.
- How is Peru Presidential election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the winner of the next Peruvian presidential election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.