KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Keiko Fujimori (100%)
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, 7:58 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Keiko Fujimori
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityKeiko Fujimori 94.3%+0.1ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$32.5K
Liquidity
$3.2M
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 24 days ago
StaleJan 22, 26, 10:00 PMApr 12, 27, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Roberto Sánchez0%
Keiko Fujimori100%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Keiko Fujimori
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $32.5K | $3.2M | 24 days ago | |
 Polymarket80% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $900.4 | $0 | 20 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Closed
Resolved
Keiko Fujimori (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+46 more outcomes
47 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$107.1M
24h Vol$900.4
POLYMARKETRules
If the winner of the next Peruvian presidential election is Keiko Fujimori, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a presidential election, the winner is the candidate who is officially declared elected by that authority and is subsequently sworn in, or whose inauguration date passes without a different person taking office.
- The market will resolve for that candidate even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$106.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — NoMelody62623d ago
POLYMARKETWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — NoMelody62623d ago$146.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — YesMelody62623d ago
POLYMARKETWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — YesMelody62623d ago$9.5k99.9%POLYMARKETYesFlipadelphia26d ago
POLYMARKETYesFlipadelphia26d ago$3.6k99.9%POLYMARKETYesScalpoor27d ago
POLYMARKETYesScalpoor27d ago$5.0k99.9%POLYMARKETYessdhyky27d ago
POLYMARKETYessdhyky27d ago$3.9k99.6%POLYMARKETYesmr.ozi28d ago
POLYMARKETYesmr.ozi28d agoVolume trend
$32.5kJul 22d of dataJul 3
Related Markets
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$181.1KNicolás Maduro: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
$12KFlávio Bolsonaro: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
$5.4KJavier Milei: 53%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
$536.8Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 78%KALSHI
KALSHI
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)?
$328.7ACM Neto: 50%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
$320.2Lula Da Silva: 56.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsRules
If the winner of the next Peruvian presidential election is Keiko Fujimori, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
- For a presidential election, the winner is the candidate who is officially declared elected by that authority and is subsequently sworn in, or whose inauguration date passes without a different person taking office.
- The market will resolve for that candidate even if they die or are incapacitated after the election but before taking office.
- If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years.
- Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.