Current community forecast
Labour 76.4%+0.2ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+59.7 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleSep 1, 26, 11:34 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:33 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Which party will win the upcoming by-election in the Holburn and St Pancras constituency?
- Resolves to the party which takes the most votes and so fields an MP to parliament.
- Resolved to Other if no by-election takes place before the next UK general election.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election??
- Manifold Markets prices Labour at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? resolve?
- Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Which party will win the upcoming by-election in the Holburn and St Pancras constituency?