This market resolved: Labour (98.5%)
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 5:08 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Labour98.5%
Conservative0.3%
Reform UK0.6%
Liberal Democrats1.4%
Green1.4%
Other1.7%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Which party will win the upcoming by-election in the Holburn and St Pancras constituency?
- Resolves to the party which takes the most votes and so fields an MP to parliament.
- Resolved to Other if no by-election takes place before the next UK general election.
