Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Oct 5, 2026, 2:48 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
93%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.