Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 12%-0.0%
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$128.1
Liquidity
$40.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 13.0%
Spread
18.2%
Wide spread7d Change
-3.5%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 18, 25, 8:02 PMOct 4, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes12%
Also available on Kalshi
Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?
1y
15%
85%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$6.8K
24h Vol$79
KALSHIRules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.