Brazil 2026 Election: Will Donald Trump publicly endorse any presidential candidate in either round?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionLatin America
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 9:22 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 6:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump ever publicly endorse another presidential candidate?
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Manifold MarketsWho will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWho will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if Donald J. Trump makes a public, explicit endorsement of any individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 election at any time from market creation until the earlier of the moment the TSE officially proclaims the elected President for the 2026 election.
- What counts as an “explicit endorsement”: What counts as an “explicit endorsement”: A clear statement from Trump that he supports a named person for President of Brazil (e.g., “I endorse ___,” “I support ___ for President,” “Vote for ___,” or unambiguous equivalents in English/Portuguese).
- What does NOT count:
- Generic praise/criticism without explicitly backing someone “for President”
- Support for a party/movement without naming a person
- Posts that merely repost/quote others without Trump’s clear endorsement language
