Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
11.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo one 43%-11.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.9K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
43.0% / 44.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 5:30 PMMar 1, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
No one43%
Volume trend
$2.9kJul 273d of dataJul 29
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If Donald Trump publicly endorses no one in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2028 presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2028 presidential election The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels
- The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials
- Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race.
- If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01.