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Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$25.7
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 2:00 PM UTCMar 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses the named outcome in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Democratic Socialists of America
- An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the candidate's election in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries, made after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2028.
- The statement must be public (not private communications) and must specifically reference that race or be clearly in context of it.
- The endorsement must come directly from DSA or through its official channels.
- The following scenarios would resolve to YES: DSA states that it endorses the candidate for president DSA states that it supports the candidate, with clear reference to the race DSA releases an official endorsement through its national channels DSA allows its name or logo to be used in the candidate's campaign materials
- Positive comments without explicit support, or policy endorsements without a candidate endorsement, do not qualify.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election??
- Kalshi prices Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 22% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? resolve?
- Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2028.
- How is Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) national organization publicly endorses the named outcome in the 2028 presidential election, including the Democratic primaries before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.