Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 34%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 30, 26, 8:58 PM UTCFeb 1, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves to whomever the DSA endorses in the 2028 Democratic primary at the date of the first primary (in 2024 this was South Carolina on Feb 3rd, in 2028 this will likely be a different state/date).
- If they endorse a candidate but rescind this before the date of the first primary, that will not count!
- If they endorse multiple candidates by and on that date, this will resolve equally and proportionally to all of the endorsed candidates in the primary.
- Resolves to whatever the "Central / National" DSA endorsement is.
- Local chapter endorsements will not count.
- In 2016, this would have resolved to Bernie Sanders, as in 2020.
