Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.3%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 14, 26, 7:32 AM UTCFeb 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.
- Resolves NO otherwise, unless Trump dies before 2028, in which case it resolves N/A. To avoid ambiguity in case the Super Tuesday tradition changes: Super Tuesday is defined for the purposes of this market as the first day in which at least eight states (or DC/territories) hold Republican presidential primaries/caucuses.
- If no such day occurs by the time that at least twenty states (or DC/territories) have held Republican presidential primaries/caucuses, resolves to whether or not Trump has endorsed Vance by the time of the twentieth such primary/caucus.
Open markets
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? resolve?
- Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2028.
- How is Will Trump endorse Vance by Super Tuesday in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.