Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.3%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 14, 26, 7:32 AM UTCFeb 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWhich states will vote before Super Tuesday in the 2028 Democratic Party primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (11/7-11/13)
KalshiWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Donald Trump endorses JD Vance for president before polls open on Super Tuesday in 2028.
- Resolves NO otherwise, unless Trump dies before 2028, in which case it resolves N/A. To avoid ambiguity in case the Super Tuesday tradition changes: Super Tuesday is defined for the purposes of this market as the first day in which at least eight states (or DC/territories) hold Republican presidential primaries/caucuses.
- If no such day occurs by the time that at least twenty states (or DC/territories) have held Republican presidential primaries/caucuses, resolves to whether or not Trump has endorsed Vance by the time of the twentieth such primary/caucus.