Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
0.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
J.D. Vance · —
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Stored reference
J.D. Vance 47.3%Leader of 21 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
J.D. Vance 47.3%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$81.2
Liquidity
$198.3K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
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J.D. VanceSpread
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Comments
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Market data
Updated 43 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 6:59 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · J.D. Vance
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the first individual that the named outcome endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by the named outcome that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by the named outcome of the individual for President in the 2028 United States presidential election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination to the 2028 United States Presidential election will qualify.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
- The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Marco and J.D.”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
- An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President.