Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
J.D. Vance 41.3%-1.0ptLeader of 21 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$160.8K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
+2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 6:59 PM UTCNov 6, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will Richard Hanania finally endorse in the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRules
This market will resolve according to the first individual that the named outcome endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by the named outcome that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by the named outcome of the individual for President in the 2028 United States presidential election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination to the 2028 United States Presidential election will qualify.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
- The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Marco and J.D.”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
- An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President.
