KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityHunter Biden 1%Leader of 45 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$28.5K
Liquidity
$1.8M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Apr 10, 26, 12:00 AMNov 7, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Hunter Biden1%
Compare venues· Gretchen Whitmer
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 10% | 0pt | $28.5K | $1.8M | 25 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket70% match · verified | Medium | 12% | +2pt | $1.8K | $1.2M | 5 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
0.1%2y
+17.6%22%
14%
+2.8%12%
+125 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$65.9K
24h Vol$1.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If Gavin Newsom accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Shapiro accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gretchen Whitmer accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kamala Harris accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pete Buttigieg accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$28.5kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Gavin Newsom accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Shapiro accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gretchen Whitmer accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kamala Harris accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pete Buttigieg accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.