Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast>= 2 93%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 10, 26, 8:54 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PolymarketHow many house seats will Democrats flip before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiRules
Relative to 2024.
- Counting independents for who they caucus with.
- Dem pair: @/EvanDaniel/how-many-house-seats-do-the-democra
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices >= 2 at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026? resolve?
- How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Relative to 2024.