Current implied probability
AfD 86.3%+2.0ptLeader of 24 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.9K
Liquidity
$381.4K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
5
7d Change
+3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Feb 11, 26, 8:20 PMSep 20, 26, 12:00 AM
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Rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference AfD 88% · 2 venues · 1 pt band
