Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRoger Marshall (R) 63%
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.3 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 4, 26, 6:03 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Kansas' 4th District?
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kansas?
PredictItWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRules
Resolves to the winner of the 2026 us election in Kansas
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Kansas#
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Kansas Senate winner? · Roger Marshall 62%
- Also available on Polymarket — Kansas Senate Election Winner · Roger Marshall (R) 62%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Kansas Senate Race · Republican 64%
- Also available on Smarkets — Kansas Senate Election Winner · Republican 64%
