Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election by 5.00% or more?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 26, 7:48 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWinning party in Wisconsin's gubernatorial election (2026)
FutuurHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
PolymarketBryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election and their winning margin is 5.000% or higher.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election by 5.00% or more??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 59% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election by 5.00% or more? resolve?
- Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election by 5.00% or more? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election by 5.00% or more? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election and their winning margin is 5.000% or higher.