Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 60.4%
Forecasters
20
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.3 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJan 15, 26, 9:02 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa?
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
LimitlessRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $132.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $215.7M
- 24h Vol
- $685.7K
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.3pt1%
+7 more outcomes
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- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa?
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 60% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.