Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 11:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastAshley Hinson (Republican) 59%
Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleJun 4, 26, 8:39 AMNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Josh Turek (Democrat)41%
Compare venues· Ashley Hinson (Republican)
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Iowa?
1y
64%
38%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTIT
Also available on ForecastEx
Will the Democratic party win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
4mo
77%
23%
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
FORECASTEXRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$147Jul 152d of dataJul 16
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.