Who will win the 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio (to fill JD Vance's seat)?
1.7 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms30dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSherrod Brown 61.4%+1.7ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
33
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+3.1 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Nov 15, 24, 10:28 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 5:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
Manifold MarketsWill a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate special election in Ohio?
PredictItWill Jon Husted win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Sherrod Brown win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Resolves when both AP and DDHQ have called the race, and the calls are not retracted for at least 24 hours.
- If the race is never called by one of these organizations, resolves when election results are certified.
