Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms22d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 73%
Forecasters
57
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 23, 24, 1:46 AM UTCNov 23, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio (to fill JD Vance's seat)?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
Manifold MarketsWill Jon Husted win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Sherrod Brown win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExDemocrats win the 2026 Special Election for Senate in Florida?
Manifold MarketsRules
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Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — What party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat? · Democratic 76%
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will Jon Husted win the Ohio special election for US Senate in 2026? · No 69%
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the 2026 US Senate special election in Ohio? · Democratic (Brown) 76%
