Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 51.3%
Forecasters
48
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 23, 24, 1:46 AMNov 23, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes49%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate special election in Ohio?
11mo
51%
-1.0pt51%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
What party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
3mo
57.6%
42%
0.4%
Community forecast40 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$21Jul 1012d of dataJul 28
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.