Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 90%
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37
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 11 minutes ago
Nov 12, 24, 8:18 PM UTCNov 11, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
If Marco Rubio leaves the Senate, there will be a special election in 2026 to decide who will fill the position for the remaining 2 years of that term.
- If a GOP candidate wins this election, this market resolves yes.
- If a non-GOP candidate wins, the election isn't held, or some other outcome occurs, this market resolves NO.
