Which party will win the 2026 US Senate special election in Ohio?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection11mo
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Democratic 51%
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic51%
Compare venues· Democratic
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?
3mo
51.3%
48.7%
Community forecast48 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
What party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
3mo
57.6%
42%
0.4%
Community forecast40 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.