What are the current odds for Will a world leader visit the moon before 2040?

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.8% as of October 11, 2026.

When does Will a world leader visit the moon before 2040 resolve?

Will a world leader visit the moon before 2040 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2040.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A world leader is anyone who is considered the leader of their country.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 93.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 21 minutes ago

Apr 2, 24, 12:55 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

A world leader is anyone who is considered the leader of their country.

The term "world leader" is a bit subjective feel free to ask me questions about who I would consider a world leader, I won't bet in this market.