Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
December 4%Leader of 4 outcomes
December 4%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$144.9
Liquidity
$12.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$11.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
DecemberSpread
—
Comments
71
7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 25, 11:20 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
JanuaryLost
JulyLost
June 30,Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · December
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?
Manifold MarketsClaudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
KalshiWill Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo announces she is resigning as President of Mexico or otherwise ceases to be President of Mexico for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Claudia Sheinbaum or the Government of Mexico, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.