Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50.3%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 5, 25, 6:51 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum's approval rating is above 60% at the end of December 2027.
- The approval rating will be determined based on the most recent poll conducted by a reputable polling organization, such as Enkoll, El Financiero, or Mitofsky, published within the last month of 2027.
- If multiple polls conducted on an identical or nearly identical set of days are available, the average of these polls will be used to determine the outcome.
Open markets
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+16 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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+15 more outcomes
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.9%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt43.4%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.8%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
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- Delcy Rodríguez-2.5pt9.5%
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- Hawai'i-6.0pt71%
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- Total Vol
- $31.8K
- 24h Vol
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- $104.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027? resolve?
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria