Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 50.3%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 5, 25, 6:51 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum's approval rating is above 60% at the end of December 2027.
- The approval rating will be determined based on the most recent poll conducted by a reputable polling organization, such as Enkoll, El Financiero, or Mitofsky, published within the last month of 2027.
- If multiple polls conducted on an identical or nearly identical set of days are available, the average of these polls will be used to determine the outcome.