PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December · —
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Stored reference
December 32%Leader of 5 outcomes
December 32%Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$21K
Liquidity
$98.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$10.2K
Bid / Ask
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DecemberSpread
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Comments
1
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 2:26 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by Brazilian authorities by October 31?
PolymarketWhen will Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro meet?
KalshiWhen will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil.
- Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
- If it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.