PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 83%
No 83%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$120.1
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$3.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
1
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 2:37 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro meet?
KalshiFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by Brazilian authorities by October 31?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by which date?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US grant British Jews asylum before EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is officially granted asylum in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A grant of asylum by U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) or an immigration judge, or a public statement by the U.S. government confirming that Flávio Bolsonaro has been granted asylum, will qualify.
- Credible reporting that asylum has been granted, including confirmation by Flávio Bolsonaro or his legal representatives, will also qualify.
- Other forms of U.S. immigration relief or status, including but not limited to refugee status, humanitarian parole, Temporary Protected Status, withholding of removal, protection under the Convention Against Torture, visas, or lawful permanent residence, will not qualify unless an asylum grant is also made.
- The mere filing of an asylum application, a pending application, or Flávio Bolsonaro's presence or extended residence in the United States will not qualify.
