Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?
PoliticsOne-OffLatin America3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55.7%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleFeb 18, 25, 10:42 PM UTCJun 1, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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KalshiRules
Claudia Sheinbaum began her presidency with strong approval ratings of around 78-80% in her first few months.
- She is Mexico's first female president and a member of the MORENA party, continuing many policies of her predecessor, Andrés Manuel López Obrador.
- Key challenges facing her administration include security concerns, economic inequality, and corruption.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on credible polling data showing Sheinbaum's approval rating at the end of May 2030.
- The market will resolve YES if more people approve than disapprove of her performance (net positive rating), and NO if more people disapprove than approve (net negative rating).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 56% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030? resolve?
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030? is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2030.
- How is Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Claudia Sheinbaum began her presidency with strong approval ratings of around 78-80% in her first few months.