Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?
PoliticsOne-OffLatin America3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 55.7%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 18, 25, 10:42 PM UTCJun 1, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Claudia Sheinbaum began her presidency with strong approval ratings of around 78-80% in her first few months.
- She is Mexico's first female president and a member of the MORENA party, continuing many policies of her predecessor, Andrés Manuel López Obrador.
- Key challenges facing her administration include security concerns, economic inequality, and corruption.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on credible polling data showing Sheinbaum's approval rating at the end of May 2030.
- The market will resolve YES if more people approve than disapprove of her performance (net positive rating), and NO if more people disapprove than approve (net negative rating).
