Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.4%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
May 31, 25, 6:37 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, there is a publicly reported incident where an individual is arrested based on information provided by an artificial intelligence system that autonomously reported or "snitched" on the individual's activities, leading directly to the arrest.
- The AI system must have independently identified and reported the behavior without human initiation.
- Verification will be based on credible news sources reporting such an event.
